VfR Garching vs Kottern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
KIR
2 - 0
VRG
20%
21%
59%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VRG
2 - 1
HAH
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
RUH
0 - 6
VRG
7%
14%
78%
|
36 | 6 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VRG
2 - 1
PUL
50%
23%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
HEI
0 - 2
VRG
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Kottern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
KOT
1 - 3
DAC
48%
22%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LAN
0 - 0
KOT
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
KOT
1 - 2
UNT
40%
23%
37%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
KOT
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
KOT
3 - 0
RUH
91%
7%
2%
|
21 | 5 | 16 | +1 |