VfR Garching vs Ismaning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
40.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
14º
17º
15º
50
1º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
53 | 53 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 21 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
ERL
2 - 1
VRG
35%
24%
42%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
VRG
0 - 1
KIR
44%
24%
33%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
VRG
2 - 0
ROS
36%
23%
42%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
DEI
1 - 0
VRG
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
VRG
2 - 3
DAC
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ismaning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
ISM
5 - 1
DEI
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
DAC
1 - 1
ISM
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ISM
4 - 1
SCH
42%
23%
36%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
186
2 - 1
ISM
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
ISM
3 - 0
TUR
62%
20%
19%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |