VfR Garching vs Ingolstadt 04 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
UNT
5 - 1
VRG
80%
14%
7%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
VRG
3 - 2
BUC
21%
24%
55%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
VRG
1 - 5
186
21%
25%
54%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 2
VRG
20%
21%
60%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
VRG
1 - 2
UNT
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
ING
3 - 0
ROS
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
186
2 - 1
ING
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
ZWI
2 - 1
ING
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
ING
5 - 3
VIK
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
NUR
2 - 1
ING
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |