VfR Garching vs Heimstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ROS
2 - 0
VRG
26%
22%
52%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
VRG
0 - 1
SON
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
FCP
2 - 3
VRG
37%
22%
41%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
VRG
3 - 0
ERL
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
WOL
0 - 6
VRG
27%
22%
52%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
HEI
2 - 3
DAC
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
LAN
3 - 2
HEI
20%
20%
60%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
HEI
4 - 0
UNT
72%
18%
11%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 2
HEI
24%
21%
56%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
HEI
1 - 0
KOT
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |