VfR Garching vs Greuther Fürth II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
BAY
3 - 0
VRG
72%
17%
10%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SCH
0 - 0
VRG
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
MEM
1 - 0
VRG
56%
22%
23%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
VRG
0 - 1
ROS
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
VRG
1 - 3
BUC
46%
24%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
WWO
3 - 0
GRE
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 1
BAY
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 2
GRE
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 1
ILL
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
FCP
2 - 4
GRE
51%
24%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |