VfR Garching vs Dachau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
56.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
8º
17º
17º
41
8º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCG
2 - 2
VRG
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
VRG
0 - 1
FCP
18%
20%
63%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
HEI
4 - 1
VRG
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
VRG
1 - 2
ISM
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KOT
4 - 1
VRG
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Dachau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DAC
1 - 3
SON
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
KIR
2 - 2
DAC
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
DAC
5 - 2
ERL
30%
25%
45%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +3 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
RAI
1 - 2
DAC
71%
17%
13%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
DAC
0 - 1
TSA
22%
22%
57%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |