VfR Garching vs Bogen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
DAC
3 - 0
VRG
22%
21%
57%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
VRG
0 - 1
AMB
35%
26%
40%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
AMB
2 - 0
VRG
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
VRG
1 - 0
FCP
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
FCP
2 - 6
VRG
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
BOG
1 - 1
PUL
28%
24%
48%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
WOL
1 - 3
BOG
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
BOG
0 - 1
VIL
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
BOG
0 - 2
RAI
20%
21%
60%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
LAN
4 - 1
BOG
32%
24%
45%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |