VfR Garching vs Bogen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
WOL
1 - 0
VRG
30%
24%
46%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
VRG
0 - 2
WAC
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 1
VRG
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
LAN
1 - 3
VRG
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
VRG
0 - 0
PUL
45%
23%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BOG
1 - 2
RAI
69%
18%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ISM
1 - 2
BOG
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BOG
3 - 2
SON
31%
24%
46%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
HAH
1 - 0
BOG
64%
20%
17%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BOG
1 - 0
DJK
26%
23%
50%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +2 |