VfR Garching vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
47.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
VRG
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VRG
1 - 2
MEM
38%
27%
36%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
VRG
1 - 1
EIN
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
SEL
2 - 0
VRG
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
VRG
0 - 4
ILL
20%
22%
58%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BAY
1 - 2
EIN
52%
24%
25%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
SEL
1 - 1
BAY
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
BAY
1 - 1
ILL
29%
25%
47%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ING
0 - 2
BAY
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BAY
1 - 3
AUG
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |