VfR Garching vs 1860 München II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
52.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
BAY
2 - 1
VRG
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
VRG
3 - 1
ING
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
UNT
5 - 1
VRG
80%
14%
7%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
VRG
3 - 2
BUC
21%
24%
55%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
VRG
1 - 5
186
21%
25%
54%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
1860 München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
186
1 - 0
ROS
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
BAY
1 - 3
186
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
BAY
4 - 2
186
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
186
2 - 1
ING
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
VRG
1 - 5
186
21%
25%
54%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |