VfR Bürstadt vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
19.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Bürstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
WWO
0 - 1
BUR
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
BUR
2 - 2
HOM
28%
29%
43%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1979 |
SCF
1 - 0
BUR
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
BUR
3 - 1
RVO
45%
28%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 1979 |
SGF
3 - 0
BUR
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
FRE
2 - 0
ULM
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1979 |
ULM
0 - 0
SAA
30%
29%
41%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
FCN
2 - 1
ULM
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1979 |
ULM
1 - 2
FSV
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1979 |
DAR
3 - 0
ULM
77%
15%
9%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |