DFB Pokal 1/64
Global 5-1
VfR Bürstadt vs SC Geislingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
8.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Bürstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
SCG
1 - 1
BUR
27%
22%
51%
|
60 | 27 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
SGF
0 - 1
BUR
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1981 |
BUR
1 - 3
BAY
44%
26%
31%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1981 |
ULM
3 - 0
BUR
60%
23%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
BUR
4 - 1
FRE
44%
26%
31%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
SC Geislingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
SCG
1 - 1
BUR
27%
22%
51%
|
27 | 60 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1978 |
AAA
4 - 1
SCG
78%
13%
10%
|
27 | 60 | 33 | 0 |