VfR Bürstadt vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Bürstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1984 |
AAA
1 - 1
BUR
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
BUR
2 - 0
FCN
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1984 |
ROT
0 - 2
BUR
56%
25%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 1984 |
BUR
1 - 2
HAN
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
FCB
3 - 1
BUR
48%
21%
31%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
KÖL
2 - 2
MSV
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1984 |
FCN
2 - 1
MSV
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
MSV
1 - 2
HAN
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1984 |
HER
4 - 3
MSV
56%
23%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1984 |
MSV
2 - 2
HES
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |