VfR Bürstadt vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Bürstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
ULM
4 - 1
BUR
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1984 |
BUR
2 - 1
SCF
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
WAT
3 - 2
BUR
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1984 |
BUR
0 - 1
OFC
40%
24%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
BUR
7 - 2
MSV
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1984 |
MSV
2 - 2
KÖL
54%
21%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
SCF
1 - 4
KÖL
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1984 |
KÖL
0 - 0
MSV
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
FCN
6 - 0
KÖL
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
KÖL
3 - 5
HAN
58%
22%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |