VfR Aalen vs Siegen Sportfreunde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
VFR
2 - 5
M05
21%
23%
56%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
BAY
2 - 0
VFR
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
VFR
0 - 2
HOF
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
VFR
4 - 1
ERF
42%
25%
32%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
WEH
1 - 3
VFR
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Siegen Sportfreunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
SPO
4 - 1
PFU
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
STU
1 - 0
SPO
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
SPO
4 - 0
MAI
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
STU
0 - 0
SPO
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2004 |
SPO
0 - 0
PFU
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |