VfR Aalen vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
WUP
5 - 0
VFR
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
VFR
1 - 4
FCU
27%
27%
47%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
BAY
4 - 0
VFR
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
OFC
2 - 1
VFR
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
ERF
0 - 0
VFR
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
SGD
2 - 0
CZJ
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
EBT
0 - 1
SGD
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
WAC
0 - 3
SGD
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
STU
2 - 0
SGD
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SGD
1 - 1
WUP
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |