VfR Aalen vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.2%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
85.6%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
13.8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
19.2%
0-4
9.8%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
12.8%
0-5
5.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 1
REU
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 2
VFR
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FRE
3 - 1
VFR
68%
20%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 1
AST
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
STU
1 - 0
VFR
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCN
3 - 1
S04
25%
24%
51%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
S04
5 - 1
EBT
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
TWE
0 - 0
S04
67%
19%
15%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
S04
0 - 2
UTR
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
VER
0 - 1
S04
26%
21%
53%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |