VfR Aalen vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
55.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
BAY
2 - 0
VFR
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
VFR
0 - 2
HOF
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
VFR
4 - 1
ERF
42%
25%
32%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
WEH
1 - 3
VFR
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
VFR
3 - 2
MAI
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
M05
2 - 1
HSV
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
STU
4 - 2
M05
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
M05
3 - 0
EIN
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
SSV
0 - 0
M05
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
M05
2 - 0
UNT
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |