VfR Aalen vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
44.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
VFR
1 - 4
AST
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
HES
1 - 2
VFR
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
VFR
5 - 2
HOF
37%
25%
39%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
KOB
2 - 2
VFR
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
VFR
1 - 2
ULM
18%
23%
60%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 1
MAI
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
MAI
3 - 0
BAH
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
PIR
1 - 1
MAI
21%
24%
55%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
MAI
1 - 0
SMA
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
AST
0 - 2
MAI
34%
24%
41%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |