VfR Aalen vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
69.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
VFR
1 - 2
AAA
16%
20%
64%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
VFR
0 - 2
F95
16%
20%
64%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
USO
3 - 1
VFR
79%
13%
9%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1992 |
BYM
4 - 0
HSV
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
HSV
0 - 0
LEV
40%
30%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1992 |
KOL
2 - 2
HSV
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1992 |
HSV
0 - 1
FCN
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1992 |
SGD
1 - 1
HSV
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |