VfR Aalen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
64.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
USO
3 - 1
VFR
79%
13%
9%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
LEV
5 - 0
F95
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
F95
0 - 3
BYM
26%
24%
50%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1986 |
EIN
5 - 0
F95
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
KFC
5 - 2
F95
66%
18%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1986 |
F95
2 - 1
FCN
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |