VfR Aalen vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
ELV
1 - 3
VFR
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
VFR
1 - 0
SVS
51%
24%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
UNT
2 - 2
VFR
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
VFR
1 - 0
FSV
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
186
3 - 0
VFR
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
ING
1 - 1
WAC
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2007 |
LOG
0 - 1
ING
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
ING
0 - 0
SVS
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
KSC
1 - 1
ING
31%
28%
42%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
ING
3 - 0
HES
52%
25%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |