VfR Aalen vs Darmstadt 98 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
VFR
2 - 0
SAA
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
AUG
3 - 0
VFR
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
VFR
2 - 3
PFU
48%
24%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
VFR
2 - 1
SCH
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
ERF
5 - 0
VFR
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Darmstadt 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2003 |
DAR
1 - 1
OFC
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
WEH
1 - 1
DAR
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
DAR
1 - 0
BAY
38%
27%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
KAI
1 - 1
DAR
45%
26%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
SSV
5 - 0
DAR
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |