VfR Aalen vs CfR Pforzheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
7º
4º
34
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 88 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 76 |
2º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 58 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 57 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 50 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 49 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 44 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 39 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 35 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
53.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 20 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NOT
0 - 3
VFR
51%
23%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 3
VFR
25%
24%
50%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VFR
2 - 3
VFR
64%
21%
16%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
RAV
0 - 0
VFR
19%
24%
57%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 0
TSB
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
CfR Pforzheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
PFO
2 - 0
SVF
69%
18%
14%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 0
PFO
19%
23%
59%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
0 - 3
PFO
25%
24%
52%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PFO
1 - 1
VFR
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
RAV
1 - 1
PFO
15%
22%
63%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |