VfR Aalen vs 1860 München II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
KSC
1 - 2
VFR
46%
26%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
VFR
2 - 4
WAC
43%
27%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
DAR
1 - 3
VFR
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1999 |
VFR
3 - 2
PFU
36%
28%
36%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1999 |
QUF
1 - 1
VFR
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
1860 München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
186
3 - 0
SCH
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1999 |
FUL
0 - 1
186
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
186
2 - 0
AUG
53%
25%
23%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
VFR
3 - 0
186
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
KSC
0 - 2
186
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |