VfL Vichttal vs BCV Glesch-Paffendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
3º
10º
3º
33
3º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Vichttal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SCF
0 - 3
VFL
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VFL
4 - 1
BER
31%
23%
46%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +3 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VFL
2 - 2
PES
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SPF
2 - 1
VFL
41%
23%
37%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
H05
3 - 4
VFL
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BGP
2 - 2
SPF
19%
22%
59%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VIA
0 - 2
BGP
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BGP
0 - 2
H05
12%
18%
71%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
SVE
6 - 2
BGP
80%
12%
8%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
BSC
4 - 0
BGP
83%
12%
6%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |