VfL Osnabrück vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
49.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
ING
0 - 0
OSN
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
OSN
1 - 0
OFC
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
OSN
1 - 0
EBT
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
OSN
2 - 1
WAC
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
HOL
1 - 1
OSN
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
SCF
0 - 0
S04
24%
26%
51%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
S04
2 - 0
HOF
58%
24%
18%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
RTV
2 - 2
S04
29%
26%
46%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
S04
1 - 0
FCN
62%
23%
15%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
S04
1 - 0
M05
60%
23%
17%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |