VfL Osnabrück vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1989 |
SCF
3 - 1
OSN
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1989 |
OSN
2 - 5
BWB
44%
26%
31%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 1989 |
UNT
2 - 2
OSN
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1989 |
OSN
1 - 1
MEP
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
M05
1 - 1
OSN
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1989 |
S04
1 - 2
SAA
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1989 |
AAA
0 - 4
S04
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1989 |
S04
1 - 5
EBT
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 1989 |
ROT
0 - 0
S04
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
HOM
2 - 1
S04
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |