VfL Osnabrück vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
OSN
0 - 0
HAL
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
VIK
1 - 2
OSN
25%
24%
51%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
OSN
0 - 1
ZWI
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
KAI
2 - 0
OSN
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
OSN
1 - 0
MEP
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
WOL
0 - 2
SCF
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SCF
1 - 1
RBL
19%
22%
59%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
SCF
3 - 0
STP
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
HER
1 - 2
SCF
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SCF
3 - 0
AUG
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |