DFB Pokal 1/16
Global 4-2
VfL Osnabrück vs SV Phönix 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
WAL
4 - 0
OSN
31%
22%
47%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1939 |
OSN
3 - 2
S04
85%
10%
5%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
SV Phönix 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1951 |
PIR
2 - 3
PHO
69%
16%
15%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1951 |
PHO
1 - 0
WWO
86%
9%
5%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -1 |