VfL Osnabrück vs MSV Duisburg analysis

VfL Osnabrück MSV Duisburg
64 ELO 71
5.6% Tilt 0.8%
1321º General ELO ranking 2441º
44º Country ELO ranking 70º
ELO win probability
37.7%
VfL Osnabrück
26.8%
Draw
35.5%
MSV Duisburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
VfL Osnabrück
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.5%
Win probability
MSV Duisburg
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
VfL Osnabrück
-17%
+3%
MSV Duisburg

ELO progression

VfL Osnabrück
MSV Duisburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VfL Osnabrück
VfL Osnabrück
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2010
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
2 - 3
Kaiserslautern
KAI
32%
25%
43%
65 76 11 0
08 May. 2010
WAC
SV Wacker Burghausen
0 - 1
VfL Osnabrück
OSN
26%
26%
48%
65 53 12 0
30 Apr. 2010
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
3 - 1
Holstein Kiel
HOL
66%
20%
14%
65 54 11 0
24 Apr. 2010
BOR
B. Dortmund II
1 - 2
VfL Osnabrück
OSN
25%
26%
49%
64 53 11 +1
17 Apr. 2010
SSV
Jahn Regensburg
2 - 2
VfL Osnabrück
OSN
26%
27%
47%
64 54 10 0

Matches

MSV Duisburg
MSV Duisburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2010
LUB
VfB Lübeck
0 - 2
MSV Duisburg
MSV
15%
21%
64%
71 45 26 0
09 May. 2010
AAA
Alemannia Aachen
1 - 1
MSV Duisburg
MSV
50%
25%
26%
71 70 1 0
02 May. 2010
MSV
MSV Duisburg
0 - 1
Karlsruher SC
KSC
53%
24%
23%
72 70 2 -1
24 Apr. 2010
MSV
MSV Duisburg
2 - 3
Paderborn
PAD
61%
22%
17%
72 66 6 0
16 Apr. 2010
AUG
FC Augsburg
2 - 0
MSV Duisburg
MSV
47%
26%
27%
73 73 0 -1