VfL Osnabrück vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
DAR
3 - 1
OSN
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
OSN
1 - 2
WAT
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1986 |
OSN
1 - 0
BAY
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
KSC
2 - 1
OSN
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
BWB
0 - 0
OSN
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1986 |
MSV
0 - 4
BWB
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
MSV
1 - 2
AAA
38%
28%
35%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
MSV
2 - 7
DAR
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1986 |
WAT
3 - 1
MSV
62%
21%
16%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1986 |
TEN
2 - 1
MSV
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -2 |