VfL Osnabrück vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1988 |
USO
3 - 2
OSN
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1988 |
OSN
4 - 2
KÖL
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1988 |
HER
2 - 1
OSN
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1988 |
OSN
3 - 0
SAA
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1988 |
OSN
0 - 0
HOM
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1988 |
M05
1 - 2
DAR
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1988 |
VIK
2 - 1
M05
48%
25%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1988 |
M05
1 - 1
ROT
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1988 |
EBT
0 - 0
M05
58%
22%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1988 |
M05
3 - 1
AAA
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +2 |