VfL Osnabrück vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
MSV
3 - 0
OSN
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
OSN
3 - 1
ERF
50%
25%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
KÖL
0 - 1
OSN
30%
27%
44%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
OSN
0 - 1
PRE
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 2
OSN
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ERF
3 - 2
HOL
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
HOL
1 - 1
PRE
37%
27%
35%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
SGD
1 - 2
HOL
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
HOL
0 - 1
COT
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
HOL
1 - 2
MUN
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |