VfL Osnabrück vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2007 |
HAM
4 - 2
OSN
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
OSN
0 - 0
STP
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
BSV
1 - 1
OSN
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
OSN
3 - 3
BAY
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
WSV
1 - 0
OSN
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2007 |
HOL
2 - 1
RWA
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
BOR
6 - 1
HOL
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
HOL
1 - 0
HAM
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
STP
2 - 0
HOL
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
HOL
0 - 0
BSV
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |