VfL Osnabrück vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 1
OSN
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
OSN
3 - 1
WER
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
HAL
1 - 0
OSN
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
OSN
1 - 1
MAI
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ERF
4 - 2
OSN
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
KÖL
0 - 2
ERZ
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
KÖL
0 - 3
CHE
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
WER
1 - 3
KÖL
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
KÖL
0 - 2
HAL
52%
25%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MAI
0 - 1
KÖL
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |