VfL Osnabrück vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
39.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1984 |
AAA
1 - 0
OSN
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
WAT
4 - 3
OSN
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1983 |
OSN
4 - 2
KSC
34%
25%
40%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1983 |
SCF
2 - 0
OSN
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1983 |
OSN
2 - 3
MSV
47%
26%
28%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1984 |
KÖL
1 - 3
USO
70%
17%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
KÖL
2 - 1
ULM
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1983 |
S04
6 - 2
KÖL
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1983 |
KÖL
2 - 1
HES
58%
21%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1983 |
SAA
1 - 2
KÖL
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |