VfL Osnabrück vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
MUN
3 - 1
OSN
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
OSN
1 - 3
MSV
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
OSN
2 - 3
KAI
32%
25%
43%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
WAC
0 - 1
OSN
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
OSN
3 - 1
HOL
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
ERZ
1 - 0
RTV
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
PAD
0 - 1
ERZ
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ERZ
1 - 3
MON
27%
24%
49%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2010 |
ERZ
1 - 3
S04
20%
26%
54%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
WER
2 - 1
ERZ
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |