VfL Osnabrück vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
HOF
3 - 1
OSN
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
MON
2 - 1
OSN
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
OSN
0 - 0
PAD
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2007 |
WEH
1 - 1
OSN
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
OSN
2 - 1
SCF
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2007 |
ERZ
2 - 3
MON
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
PAD
0 - 1
ERZ
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
ERZ
3 - 0
WEH
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
OFC
3 - 2
ERZ
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
ERZ
1 - 1
SGF
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |