VfL Osnabrück vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
3.4%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1976 |
OSN
12 - 1
FCU
60%
20%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1976 |
WUP
4 - 2
OSN
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
OSN
1 - 2
TEN
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1976 |
WAB
1 - 0
OSN
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1976 |
ISC
1 - 2
OSN
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
LEV
4 - 0
IFT
91%
7%
2%
|
53 | 7 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1976 |
WAT
2 - 3
LEV
84%
12%
4%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
LEV
0 - 2
BVB
22%
25%
53%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1976 |
AAA
2 - 1
LEV
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
WUP
2 - 0
LEV
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |