VfL Oldenburg vs TuS Bersenbrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
60.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
9º
15º
14º
30
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
8º
|
30 | 60 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 57 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 56 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 53 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 45 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 45 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 44 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 39 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 36 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
26% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 29 |
18º
|
46% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 22% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 24% |
|
Mid-table
|
45% | 54% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
42.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
HSC
2 - 0
VFL
39%
24%
38%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
BWB
1 - 3
VFL
22%
23%
56%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
VFL
1 - 4
TUB
23%
21%
56%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BOR
2 - 0
VFL
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
VFL
3 - 2
GER
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
TuS Bersenbrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TUB
2 - 1
AHA
82%
12%
7%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
TUB
1 - 7
BOR
45%
22%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
TUB
1 - 7
SPO
56%
21%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
TUB
1 - 1
OSN
13%
17%
71%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
DRO
5 - 2
TUB
52%
22%
26%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |