VfL Oldenburg vs Heesseler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
LIN
0 - 3
VFL
18%
23%
59%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BOR
0 - 0
VFL
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
VFL
5 - 1
PEW
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ENO
3 - 0
VFL
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
VFL
3 - 0
PRH
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Heesseler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
HEE
4 - 0
BOR
17%
22%
62%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
PEW
5 - 1
HEE
71%
18%
12%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
HEE
3 - 4
ENO
13%
19%
68%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
PRH
1 - 1
HEE
78%
15%
8%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
HEE
1 - 3
BAR
22%
23%
55%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |