VfL Oldenburg vs Germania Egestorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
38.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
3º
8º
7º
65
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 59 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
64% | |
|
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
84% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
BWP
2 - 2
VFL
31%
21%
48%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
ADF
4 - 3
VFL
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
VFL
3 - 2
VFB
15%
21%
64%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
GER
5 - 0
VFL
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
VFL
3 - 0
RAE
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Germania Egestorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
GER
5 - 0
AHA
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
GER
2 - 3
JED
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
GER
5 - 0
VFL
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
SVE
1 - 4
GER
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
BWL
5 - 0
GER
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |