VfL Oldenburg vs VfV Hildesheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
44.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
9º
15º
14º
30
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
30 | 60 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 57 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 56 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 53 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 45 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 45 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 44 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 39 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 36 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
26% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 29 |
18º
|
46% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 14% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
45% | 72.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
42.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LUP
0 - 0
VFL
51%
23%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VFL
3 - 1
VER
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SVM
1 - 1
VFL
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VFL
1 - 1
TUB
20%
20%
60%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
HSC
2 - 0
VFL
39%
24%
38%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
VfV Hildesheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BOR
2 - 1
AHA
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 5
BOR
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 7
ELV
8%
13%
79%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GER
2 - 0
BOR
36%
25%
40%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BOR
4 - 2
VOR
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |