VfL Leverkusen vs Germania Erftstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
46.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
EUR
4 - 1
VFL
80%
14%
7%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VFL
1 - 2
WEG
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
EIL
3 - 1
VFL
57%
21%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VFL
0 - 0
AAA
20%
22%
58%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
HUR
2 - 0
VFL
76%
15%
10%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Germania Erftstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2014 |
GER
0 - 2
EIL
62%
20%
19%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
GER
1 - 0
BER
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
GER
0 - 4
EUR
21%
20%
58%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
BFR
4 - 1
GER
69%
18%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SCB
1 - 0
GER
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |