VfL Leverkusen vs FC BW Friesdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
HER
3 - 1
VFL
66%
19%
16%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VFL
0 - 2
H05
31%
22%
47%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
VIA
1 - 0
VFL
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
EIL
2 - 0
VFL
34%
23%
43%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VFL
0 - 1
WES
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC BW Friesdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BWF
1 - 2
WES
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ALT
2 - 2
BWF
76%
15%
10%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
BWF
3 - 0
BFR
29%
22%
48%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BER
3 - 1
BWF
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BWF
1 - 1
GEW
42%
22%
35%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |