VfL Herzlake vs Werder Bremen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Herzlake
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1997 |
EBT
2 - 0
HER
75%
16%
8%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
HER
2 - 5
SRF
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 May. 1997 |
OSN
2 - 2
HER
67%
20%
12%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
HER
0 - 0
STP
68%
19%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
HER
1 - 0
ALT
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1997 |
WER
2 - 1
CEL
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
STP
1 - 1
WER
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
WER
2 - 1
WSV
68%
21%
11%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1997 |
EIN
0 - 2
WER
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
WER
3 - 1
EBT
37%
28%
36%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +3 |