VfL Herzlake vs SV Lurup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Herzlake
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
COH
1 - 3
HER
45%
27%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
HER
4 - 1
ADF
61%
22%
18%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
WER
6 - 0
HER
50%
26%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 1996 |
HER
0 - 2
HAN
26%
27%
47%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1996 |
HER
3 - 1
EBT
41%
26%
33%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
SV Lurup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
ADF
0 - 0
SVL
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
SVL
0 - 5
HAN
25%
27%
48%
|
30 | 62 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
OSN
3 - 0
SVL
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 1996 |
SVL
1 - 1
ALT
38%
26%
36%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1996 |
SVL
2 - 1
EIN
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |