VfL Herzlake vs St. Pauli II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Herzlake
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
HER
1 - 0
ALT
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
WSV
4 - 2
HER
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
HER
3 - 0
ISC
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1997 |
SVL
0 - 2
HER
34%
26%
40%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1997 |
HAN
3 - 3
HER
86%
10%
4%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
STP
1 - 0
WSV
35%
27%
38%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1997 |
STP
1 - 0
HAM
18%
23%
60%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
EIN
2 - 1
STP
71%
18%
11%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
STP
0 - 3
EBT
24%
25%
51%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1997 |
ISC
1 - 0
STP
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |