VfL Herzlake vs Lüneburger SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Herzlake
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1996 |
BSV
1 - 1
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
HER
3 - 0
SVL
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
COH
1 - 3
HER
45%
27%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
HER
4 - 1
ADF
61%
22%
18%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
WER
6 - 0
HER
50%
26%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lüneburger SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
SVL
2 - 2
LUN
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
LUN
1 - 0
ADF
55%
24%
21%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
HAN
5 - 0
LUN
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 63 | 33 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
LUN
0 - 2
OSN
32%
26%
42%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
ALT
5 - 0
LUN
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |